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May wipes HK$9,119 per MPF account as Greek crisis drags five-month gain to 0.84pc

2012-06-06
Marcus Tang

This article is a rewrite of a report from June 2012.

In May 2012, global equities were gripped by fears of a Greek euro exit, dragging MPF down over 6 per cent for the month and nearly erasing the first four months’ gains: each MPF member account lost over HK$9,000 in May alone. Using the same Lipper dataset as a companion “worst May” report, this story’s angle was the data breakdown and the June outlook.

May data in detail

ItemFigure
May overall MPF-6.03% (nearly erasing Jan–Apr’s +7.43%)
First five monthsJust +0.84%
Five-month cumulative growthFrom HK$26.453bn (four months) to HK$2.99bn (over HK$20bn evaporated)
Per-account cumulative gainFrom HK$10,281 (four months) to HK$1,162 (~HK$9,119 evaporated)
Equity funds in May-9.39% (still +0.69% over five months)
Mixed-asset funds in May-5.73% (+1.12% over five months)
European equities in May-11.13% (worst; -4.41% over five months)
HK / China equities in May-9.95% / -10.65% (+1.54% / -0.06% over five months)

(Basis: end-2011 net assets HK$356.035 billion, ~2.573 million members; source: Lipper)

MPF returns: what to watch in June?

Hong Kong stocks had gained 14.4 per cent (+2,660 points) over the first four months, but May’s failed Greek coalition talks and escalating debt crisis sent them down 11.68 per cent (-2,465 points), wiping out most of the year’s gains.

Lipper’s Hong Kong research head said mid-June’s repeat Greek election and whether eurozone members rolled out effective measures in time would not only add global economic uncertainty but mark a key turning point for second-half markets; with too many unknowns, global equities faced a challenging month ahead, and he was not optimistic about June MPF returns for the time being.

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