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Japan Quake and Debt Crisis Squeeze First-Half MPF Returns to 1.4%

2011-07-08
Marcus Tang

Lipper data, via Thomson Reuters, shows Japan’s earthquake and Europe’s sovereign debt crisis battered global markets in the first half, leaving Hong Kong MPF with an average return of just 1.4%. Still, mpf fund performance beat the 4.82% average loss of the same period last year and outperformed the Hang Seng Index’s 3% fall — a case of holding ground in turbulent markets.

What macro forces hit markets in the first half?

Europe’s debt crisis, emerging-market inflation, Japan’s quake and tsunami — every one a source of shocks. RCM Asia-Pacific CEO Mark Konyn pointed to the eurozone sovereign debt crisis, rising inflation in emerging economies, and Japan’s earthquake and tsunami, plus worries over a hard landing in mainland China, oil supply and stalling US growth. Each time these fears surfaced, investors fled to safe havens like US Treasuries; with developed-economy rates pinned near zero, others chased higher-yielding bonds.

What are the MPF basics behind the numbers?

Employers and employees each contribute 5% of wages monthly, capped at HK$1,000 per month. Members can invest through banks, insurers or fund companies. In such a volatile half-year, a 1.4% average return is nothing to boast about — but at least it stayed positive, unlike last year’s near-5% loss.

How should members position for the second half?

Diversification and a long horizon remain the answer in chaotic markets. Macro risks keep coming and nobody can predict the next black swan. For MPF members, the sensible move is not market-timing but making sure the portfolio is spread across markets — never betting everything on one region — and remembering MPF is long-term savings. Six-month numbers are not the whole story; regular reviews beat frequent switching.

To compare charges and returns across MPF funds, visit MPF fund comparison.

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